Larry Williams Economic Dashboard

The data sources and reports Larry Williams uses: COT positioning, seasonal cycles, macro extremes, and the fundamental backdrop for commodities and equities.

Williams' Core Data Sources

COT Report5
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CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT)

Larry Williams' most important tool. Weekly report showing net positions of commercials (hedgers), large speculators, and small speculators. Williams uses extreme commercial positioning as a contrarian reversal signal.

Data Source5
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FRED — Federal Reserve Economic Data

800,000+ time series from 100+ sources. Williams uses historical data to identify seasonal patterns, cycle highs/lows, and recurring market behavior across decades.

Official Data5
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U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Official source for Non-Farm Payrolls, CPI, PPI, and average hourly earnings. Williams watches for extreme readings in jobs and inflation data that signal major turning points.

Calendar & Data4.8
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Trading Economics

Economic calendar and historical data for 196 countries. Williams compares cross-country indicators to identify global trends and divergence signals in commodities and currencies.

Fed Tool4.9
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CME FedWatch Tool

Live probabilities of Fed rate moves from Fed Funds futures. Williams tracks the trend of interest rates — not single moves — to understand the macro backdrop for commodities and equities.

Official Data4.9
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Bureau of Economic Analysis

Official GDP, personal income, consumer spending (PCE), and corporate profits. Williams uses GDP trends alongside seasonal cycles to time entries in commodity and equity markets.

Calendar4.7
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Forex Factory — Economic Calendar

Calendar showing upcoming data releases with expected vs actual values and impact ratings. Williams-style traders use it to avoid being caught off-guard by high-impact macro reports.

Calendar4.6
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Investing.com — Economic Calendar

Comprehensive calendar with real-time updates, consensus forecasts, and historical data. Covers macro events and central bank decisions across all major economies.

Macro Reports Williams Watches

The reports that move markets. Times are Eastern Time (ET).

Bullish = good for stocks (market goes up)Bearish = bad for stocks (market goes down)

ReportScheduleSourceImpactHigh Reading Means
Commitment of Traders (COT)Williams' #1 tool. Commercial hedger positioning predicts reversalsEvery Friday, 3:30 PM ETCFTCHighBullish
Non-Farm PayrollsJobs data drives Fed policy and market sentimentFirst Friday, 8:30 AM ETBLSHighBullish
CPI — Consumer Price IndexHigh inflation = rate hikes. Williams watches for extremesAround 13th of month, 8:30 AM ETBLSHighBearish
FOMC Rate DecisionWilliams tracks the trend of rates, not single moves8 meetings/year, 2:00 PM ETFederal ReserveHighBearish
GDP — Gross Domestic ProductGrowth context for commodities and equitiesQuarterly, ~30 days after quarter endBEAHighBullish
ISM Manufacturing PMIAbove 50 = expansion. Williams uses for trend confirmationFirst business day, 10:00 AM ETISMHighBullish
Retail SalesConsumer spending = 70% of GDP. Key demand signal~14th of month, 8:30 AM ETCensus BureauHighBullish
PPI — Producer Price IndexUpstream inflation. Early warning for CPI pressureAround 13th of month, 8:30 AM ETBLSMediumBearish
Initial Jobless ClaimsLabor market health. Rising claims = weakening economyEvery Thursday, 8:30 AM ETDOLMediumBearish
Consumer ConfidenceSentiment indicator. Extremes often precede reversalsLast Tuesday of month, 10:00 AM ETConference BoardMediumBullish
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